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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 19,439,570
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 615 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 614 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 21, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 November 2023 — its closest relative in 614 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 123 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2 + PowerBall — 12,527 winners, 3% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 19,439,570 |
| 5 | 1 | ZAR 187,414 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 29 | ZAR 4,046 |
| 4 | 382 | ZAR 520 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 910 | ZAR 247 |
| 3 | 16,654 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 12,527 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 67,525 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 110,902 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 208,930 | — |