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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 16 December 2014

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 15
  5. 34
  6. 2

JackpotZAR 37,061,177

The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 531 of 1,161 under them

← 2014-12-12All recent draws2014-12-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 11 15 3429 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community9 10 11 15 34 + 228 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 530 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 December 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours97th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

958times
1063times
1157times
1568times
3463times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

221times

Every number was expected about that many times after 530 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 11, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 November 2011 — its closest relative in 530 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 December 2014): 34 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

79

The numbers add up to 79 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 10–11. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-12-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 41.2Mto 128k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball90%ZAR 37.1M
  • Match 52.3%ZAR 958.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball2.2%ZAR 887.1K
  • 5 other tiers5.5%ZAR 2.3M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.18 by chanceZAR 37,061,177
  2. Match 52≈ 3.4 by chanceZAR 479,156
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39≈ 35 by chanceZAR 17,253
  4. Match 4650≈ 671 by chanceZAR 393
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,356≈ 1.4k by chanceZAR 387
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,025≈ 17k by chanceZAR 19.00
  7. Match 328,005≈ 26k by chanceZAR 17.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball80,649≈ 81k by chanceZAR 11.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 28,005 winners, 7% more than the 26k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball80,649ZAR 11.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,025ZAR 19.00
Match 328,005ZAR 17.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,356ZAR 387
Match 4650ZAR 393
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39ZAR 17,253
Match 52ZAR 479,156
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1ZAR 37,061,177