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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 19 December 2014

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 7
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 29
  5. 45
  6. 7

JackpotZAR 2,714,602

The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 532 of 1,161 under them

← 2014-12-16All recent draws2014-12-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 9 10 29 4529 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community7 9 10 29 45 + 728 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 531 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 December 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours78th
  • spread81th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

765times
959times
1064times
2944times
4563times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

734times

Every number was expected about that many times after 531 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 9, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 October 2012 — its closest relative in 531 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 December 2014): 9, 10 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-12-19

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 6.4Mto 149k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 35lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball42%ZAR 2.7M
  • Match 513%ZAR 860.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball12%ZAR 789.9K
  • 5 other tiers32%ZAR 2.0M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 0.22 by chanceZAR 1,357,301
  2. Match 52≈ 4.1 by chanceZAR 430,064
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball37≈ 43 by chanceZAR 16,323
  4. Match 4658≈ 821 by chanceZAR 349
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,858≈ 1.7k by chanceZAR 253
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball21,992≈ 21k by chanceZAR 13.00
  7. Match 326,097≈ 32k by chanceZAR 17.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball98,740≈ 99k by chanceZAR 8.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 658 winners, 20% fewer than the 821 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball98,740ZAR 8.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball21,992ZAR 13.00
Match 326,097ZAR 17.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,858ZAR 253
Match 4658ZAR 349
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball37ZAR 16,323
Match 52ZAR 430,064
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2ZAR 1,357,301