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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Texas Two Step · draw
ResultTexas Two Step
Jackpot$225,000
The crowdHeld 26% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules4/35 + 1/35 · Jan 2010 – Feb 2022draw 1,214 of 1,266 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:55 UTC.
Texas Two Step was a 4/35 + 1/35 · Jan 2010 – Feb 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 1,213 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 139 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,213 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (1, 2, 4) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 February 2015 — its closest relative in 1,213 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 August 2021): 1 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (3% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 36 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 72. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈454k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 1,316 winners, 26% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 4 plus Bonus | 1 | $225,000 |
| Match 4 | 5 | $2,761 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus | 27 | $62.00 |
| Match 3 | 1,316 | $18.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus | 726 | $21.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus | 4,576 | $7.00 |
| Match 0 plus Bonus | 7,797 | $5.00 |
| Totals | 14,448 | — |