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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Revancha under the 5/35 + 1/10 · since Jun 2025 rules — 206 draws, 5 from 1–35.
Drawn 36 times in 206 draws against 29.4 expected, +1.31σ. Each draw is independent: after 18 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 36 times in 206 draws · average wait 5.1 draws · longest completed wait 13 · waiting 18 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 7 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 4.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.5 still unmet by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 7 is picked about 1.54× as often as an indifferent choice — 1st most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | 6 | 1st | 712132532 |
| 2026-08-14 | 13 | 1st | 723262830 |
| 2026-07-15 | 4 | 1st | 79122035 |
| 2026-07-06 | 8 | 1st | 79182325 |
| 2026-06-17 | 2 | 2nd | 57142527 |
| 2026-06-12 | 13 | 3rd | 2573133 |
| 2026-05-13 | 9 | 2nd | 57192426 |
| 2026-04-22 | 3 | 2nd | 2791234 |
| 2026-04-15 | 2 | 2nd | 2793035 |
| 2026-04-10 | 2 | 2nd | 57142628 |
| 2026-04-06 | 1 | 1st | 79132233 |
| 2026-04-01 | 1 | 2nd | 4782029 |
| 2026-03-30 | 2 | 2nd | 67121415 |
| 2026-03-25 | 4 | 2nd | 6791633 |
| 2026-03-16 | 2 | 1st | 715162123 |
| 2026-03-11 | 9 | 2nd | 67171823 |
| 2026-02-18 | 8 | 1st | 711313233 |
| 2026-01-30 | 1 | 3rd | 1671335 |
| 2026-01-28 | 13 | 1st | 713152030 |
| 2025-12-29 | 6 | 2nd | 67213135 |
| 2025-12-15 | 10 | 1st | 717202531 |
| 2025-11-21 | 3 | 2nd | 67182130 |
| 2025-11-14 | 2 | 2nd | 17102031 |
| 2025-11-10 | 1 | 1st | 715212627 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 7 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-09-19 | 1 | 1st | 710132128 |
| 2025-09-17 | 6 | 2nd | 17172427 |
| 2025-09-03 | 5 | 1st | 716222530 |
| 2025-08-22 | 1 | 2nd | 57143132 |
| 2025-08-20 | 13 | 2nd | 17161826 |
| 2025-07-21 | 3 | 2nd | 57102633 |
| 2025-07-14 | 5 | 1st | 711131415 |
| 2025-06-30 | — | 2nd | 57252833 |