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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Revancha · every number · star deck
In Revancha under the 5/35 + 1/10 · since Jun 2025 rules — 208 draws, 1 from 1–10.
Drawn 21 times in 208 draws against 20.8 expected, +0.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 24 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 21 times in 208 draws · average wait 8.4 draws · longest completed wait 33 · waiting 24 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 7 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 7 is picked about 1.54× as often as an indifferent choice — 1st most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | 6 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-08-05 | 3 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-07-29 | 33 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-05-13 | 12 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-04-15 | 5 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-04-01 | 8 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-03-13 | 2 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-03-09 | 5 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-02-25 | 1 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-02-23 | 14 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-01-21 | 6 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-01-07 | 4 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-12-29 | 4 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-12-19 | 7 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-12-03 | 8 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-11-14 | 6 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-10-31 | 10 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-10-08 | 1 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-10-06 | 3 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-09-29 | 29 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-07-23 | — | 1st | 7 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 7 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.