In Revancha under the 5/35 + 1/10 · since Jun 2025 rules — 206 draws, 5 from 1–35.
23times drawn · chance expected 29 −1.28σ
26draws waiting · a wait this long: 2% for any number
8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
24longest completed wait · 47% chance of one at least that long
16 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 23 times in 206 draws against 29.4 expected, −1.28σ. Each draw is independent: after 26 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
16
Number 16, draw by draw
Drawn 23 times in 206 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 26 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 2 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.