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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 25 September 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 37
  2. 43
  3. 44
  4. 45
  5. 53
  6. 25

Jackpot$40,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 415 of 1,432 under them

← 2019-09-21All recent draws2019-09-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed37 43 44 45 53 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

10oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 10 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd89th
  • low1th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

3728times
4326times
4428times
4530times
53

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-25

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$1.7Mto 289k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24%$400.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball17%$290.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47%$779.6K
  • 4 other tiers12%$203.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

33times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

2518times

Every number was expected about that many times after 414 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (43, 45) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 July 2019 — its closest relative in 414 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

222

The numbers add up to 222 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44, 44–45. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$40,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.64 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8≈ 8.2 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4176≈ 204 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball416≈ 515 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,372≈ 11k by chance$7.00
  • Match 311,275≈ 13k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball72,733≈ 81k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball194,894≈ 195k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 416 winners, 19% fewer than the 515 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball194,894$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball72,733$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,372$7.00
    Match 311,275$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball416$100
    Match 4176$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$40,000,000