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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 11 August 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 43
  3. 56
  4. 62
  5. 68
  6. 24

Jackpot$245,600,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 298 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-08-08All recent draws2018-08-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 43 56 62 68 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd33th
  • low10th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread93th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

519times
4317times
5624times
6228times
68

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-11

  • Lines in play≈ 18Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$250.3Mto 691k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball98%$245.6M
  • Match 50.4%$1.0M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0.7%$1.8M
  • 6 other tiers0.8%$1.9M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

2415times

Every number was expected about that many times after 297 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (56, 68) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 July 2018 — its closest relative in 297 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 August 2018): 43 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

234

The numbers add up to 234 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

62 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.06 by chance
$245,600,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.5 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13≈ 19 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4459≈ 480 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,088≈ 1.2k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball22,603≈ 25k by chance$7.00
  • Match 327,496≈ 30k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball182,336≈ 191k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball457,275≈ 457k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,088 winners, 10% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball457,275$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball182,336$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball22,603$7.00
    Match 327,496$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,088$100
    Match 4459$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1$245,600,000