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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 2 August 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 16
  3. 54
  4. 63
  5. 69
  6. 18

Jackpot$262,600,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 191 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-07-29All recent draws2017-08-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 16 54 63 69 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd65th
  • low33th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread100th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

111times
1621times
5415times
6318times
69

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-02

  • Lines in play≈ 17Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.0Mto 668k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25%$1.0M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%$710.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball44%$1.8M
  • 4 other tiers12%$495.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

18times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

184times

Every number was expected about that many times after 190 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 63, 69) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 September 2016 — its closest relative in 190 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 29% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2017): 1 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

203

The numbers add up to 203 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.06 by chance
$262,600,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.4 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 18 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4447≈ 462 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,083≈ 1.2k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball22,465≈ 24k by chance$7.00
  • Match 326,480≈ 29k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball177,662≈ 183k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball439,951≈ 440k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 26,480 winners, 9% fewer than the 29k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball439,951$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball177,662$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball22,465$7.00
    Match 326,480$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,083$100
    Match 4447$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$262,600,000