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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 29 July 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 28
  3. 40
  4. 45
  5. 48
  6. 12

Jackpot$242,500,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 190 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-07-26All recent draws2017-08-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 28 40 45 48 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 July 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd33th
  • low33th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

110times
2819times
4019times
459times
48

Prize breakdown · 2017-07-29

  • Lines in play≈ 18Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.0Mto 708k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21%$850.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%$771.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball46%$1.8M
  • 4 other tiers13%$525.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

128times

Every number was expected about that many times after 189 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 40, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 December 2016 — its closest relative in 189 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 29% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 July 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 12 repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

162

The numbers add up to 162 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.06 by chance
$242,500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.5 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17≈ 19 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4408≈ 483 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,138≈ 1.2k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball24,642≈ 25k by chance$7.00
  • Match 328,374≈ 30k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball192,741≈ 192k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball460,714≈ 461k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 28,374 winners, 7% fewer than the 30k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball460,714$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball192,741$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball24,642$7.00
    Match 328,374$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,138$100
    Match 4408$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$242,500,000