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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 5 August 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 21
  3. 28
  4. 33
  5. 45
  6. 11

Jackpot$287,200,000

The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 192 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-08-02All recent draws2017-08-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 21 28 33 45 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

1114times
2113times
2820times
3317times
45

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-05

  • Lines in play≈ 24Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$9.0Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 533%$3.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%$1.5M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball28%$2.5M
  • 5 other tiers22%$2.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

10times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

116times

Every number was expected about that many times after 191 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (28, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 July 2017 — its closest relative in 191 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 August 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$287,200,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.1 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 27 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4750≈ 667 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,118≈ 1.7k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball39,851≈ 35k by chance$7.00
  • Match 347,141≈ 42k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball280,612≈ 265k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball635,990≈ 636k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 2,118 winners, 26% more than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball635,990$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball280,612$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball39,851$7.00
    Match 347,141$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,118$100
    Match 4750$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29$50,000
    Match 53$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$287,200,000