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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 7 November 2015

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 16
  3. 25
  4. 50
  5. 53
  6. 15

Jackpot$40,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 10 of 1,430 under them

← 2015-11-04All recent draws2015-11-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 16 25 50 53 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

74oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread44th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

70times
160times
251time
500times
53

Prize breakdown · 2015-11-07

  • Lines in play≈ 9.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$3.2Mto 374k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 531%$1.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%$500.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball30%$948.0K
  • 5 other tiers23%$733.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

0times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

150times

Every number was expected about that many times after 9 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 October 2015 — its closest relative in 9 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 November 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 2 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$40,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 0.78 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10≈ 9.9 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4276≈ 249 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball649≈ 627 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,883≈ 13k by chance$7.00
  • Match 317,932≈ 16k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball104,663≈ 99k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball237,009≈ 237k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 17,932 winners, 14% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball237,009$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball104,663$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,883$7.00
    Match 317,932$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball649$100
    Match 4276$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$40,000,000