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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 4 November 2015

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 12
  3. 17
  4. 20
  5. 65
  6. 17

Jackpot$144,100,000

The crowdHeld 21% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 9 of 1,430 under them

← 2015-10-31All recent draws2015-11-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 12 17 20 65 + 1729 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd33th
  • low89th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread93th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

20times
121time
170times
203times
65

Prize breakdown · 2015-11-04

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$148.4Mto 535k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball97%$144.1M
  • Match 50.7%$1.0M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0.9%$1.3M
  • 6 other tiers1.3%$1.9M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

0times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

170times

Every number was expected about that many times after 8 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (20) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 October 2015 — its closest relative in 8 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 October 2015): 20 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.04 by chance
$144,100,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.1 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17≈ 14 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4453≈ 353 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,086≈ 890 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,962≈ 18k by chance$7.00
  • Match 326,944≈ 22k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball148,570≈ 140k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball336,768≈ 337k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,086 winners, 22% more than the 890 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball336,768$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball148,570$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,962$7.00
    Match 326,944$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,086$100
    Match 4453$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1$144,100,000