Saturday, 11 May 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 30, 34) with the draw of 9 May 2024 — its closest relative in 512 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 102 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.