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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Saturday, 11 May 2024

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 17
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 38

Jackpot$36,567

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 675 of 7,036 under them

← 2024-05-10All recent draws2024-05-12 →

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 7
    2. 8
    3. 23
    4. 30
    5. 34

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 17 29 30 3829 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each

461times
1777times
2972times
3086times
3877times

Every number was expected about that many times after 674 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 29, 38) with the draw of 5 December 2023 — its closest relative in 674 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 May 2024): 30 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-11

  • Lines in play≈ 382kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$222.4Kto 43k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 0.66

Where the money went

  • Match 425%$54.8K
  • Match 341%$91.4K
  • Match 218%$39.7K
  • 1 other tier16%$36.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 0.66 by chance$36,567
  2. Match 474≈ 113 by chance$741
  3. Match 33,263≈ 3.7k by chance$28.00
  4. Match 239,674≈ 40k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈382k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,263 winners, 12% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 51$36,567
Match 474$741
Match 33,263$28.00
Match 239,674$1.00
Totals43,012—