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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · NY · ball game
Latest drawSunday, 25 July 2021
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.
5 numbers from 1–39. 6,994 draws held here since 2010-04-07.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Take 5 come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Take 5 already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 6,994 draws every number is expected about 897 times, and a ball favoured by more than 13% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 8 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 23 or more. It is never “due”.

The 5 numbers add up to about 100, give or take 24. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

43.6% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

741 possible pairs, each expected together 94.4 times so far — and about 7 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 39 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

52% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 100.0% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 6.7 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 32 draws for every one of the 39 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

575,757 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 6,994 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 7, the highest near 33. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

5/39 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 2% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 252 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 5/39 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI
This game draws more than once. Each draw is its own record, read on its own: mixing them would put one draw’s numbers above another draw’s prize table.

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 5-of-39 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 526 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,102 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 6, 17, 34) with the draw of 10 December 2015 — its closest relative in 4,102 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (24 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 95 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 526 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,102 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 425 | 418.7 |
| 1 | 134 | 138.7 |
| 2 | 44 | 45.9 |
| 3 | 12 | 15.2 |
| 4 | 8 | 5.0 |
| 5 | 1 | 1.7 |
| 6 | 1 | 0.6 |
| 7 | 0 | 0.2 |
| 8 | 0 | 0.1 |
| 9 | 1 | 0.0 |
| 10+ | 0 | 0.0 |
Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 526 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,101 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 23, 26) with the draw of 9 July 2021 — its closest relative in 4,101 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 113 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 526 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,100 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 27, 33, 39) with the draw of 31 March 2012 — its closest relative in 4,100 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 147 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →39 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 526 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,099 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (14, 16, 19, 32) with the draw of 30 January 2016 — its closest relative in 4,099 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 84 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 525 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,098 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 15, 33, 38) with the draw of 26 July 2016 — its closest relative in 4,098 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 July 2021): 30, 38 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 121 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →33 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 525 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,097 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 7, 30, 38) with the draw of 23 April 2011 — its closest relative in 4,097 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 97 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 525 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,096 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 24, 32) with the draw of 4 July 2021 — its closest relative in 4,096 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 July 2021): 35 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 118 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 51 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 525 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,095 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (15, 29, 30, 35) with the draw of 10 November 2020 — its closest relative in 4,095 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 130 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 525 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,094 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 32, 34, 37) with the draw of 31 May 2020 — its closest relative in 4,094 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 July 2021): 5 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 118 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →34 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 525 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,093 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 31, 38) with the draw of 2 April 2021 — its closest relative in 4,093 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 86 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 525 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,092 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 29, 36) with the draw of 19 June 2021 — its closest relative in 4,092 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 524 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,091 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 10, 16, 31) with the draw of 27 August 2011 — its closest relative in 4,091 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 July 2021): 10, 16 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 89 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 3 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →