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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Friday, 10 May 2024

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 8
  3. 23
  4. 30
  5. 34

Jackpot$39,642

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 674 of 7,036 under them

← 2024-05-09All recent draws2024-05-11 →

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 1
    2. 15
    3. 17
    4. 18
    5. 19

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 8 23 30 3429 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each

792times
874times
2386times
3085times
3492times

Every number was expected about that many times after 673 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 30, 34) with the draw of 8 May 2024 — its closest relative in 673 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 May 2024): 7 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

102

The numbers add up to 102 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-10

  • Lines in play≈ 457kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$244.7Kto 52k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 0.79

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$59.4K
  • Match 340%$98.2K
  • Match 219%$47.5K
  • 1 other tier16%$39.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 0.79 by chance$39,642
  2. Match 486≈ 135 by chance$691
  3. Match 34,009≈ 4.4k by chance$24.50
  4. Match 247,452≈ 47k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈457k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,009 winners, 10% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 51$39,642
Match 486$691
Match 34,009$24.50
Match 247,452$1.00
Totals51,548—