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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Take 5 · draw · evening
eveningTake 5
Jackpot$44,450
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 20 of 7,032 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 19 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 16, 39) with the draw of 9 August 2021 — its closest relative in 19 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 17% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 August 2021): 39 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 111 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈482k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,375 winners, 7% fewer than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 1 | $44,450 |
| Match 4 | 108 | $617 |
| Match 3 | 4,375 | $25.00 |
| Match 2 | 50,087 | $1.00 |
| Totals | 54,571 | — |