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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · 14 30

Saturday, 14 August 2021

14 30Take 5

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 6
  3. 14
  4. 27
  5. 38

Jackpot$21,663

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 20 of 7,044 under them

← 2021-08-13All recent draws2021-08-15 →

Also drawn that day

  • evening
    1. 8
    2. 10
    3. 16
    4. 38
    5. 39

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 6 14 27 3829 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum31th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

34times
64times
141time
272times
382times

Every number was expected about that many times after 19 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (3, 14) with the draw of 7 August 2021 — its closest relative in 19 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

88

The numbers add up to 88 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-14

  • Lines in play≈ 281kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$136.9Kto 32k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 0.49

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$32.5K
  • Match 339%$53.6K
  • Match 221%$29.2K
  • 1 other tier16%$21.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 0.49 by chance$21,663
  2. Match 468≈ 83 by chance$478
  3. Match 32,615≈ 2.7k by chance$20.50
  4. Match 229,189≈ 29k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈281k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 2,615 winners, 4% fewer than the 2.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 51$21,663
Match 468$478
Match 32,615$20.50
Match 229,189$1.00
Totals31,873—