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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Take 5 · draw · evening
eveningTake 5
Jackpot$57,576
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 21 of 7,034 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 20 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (4, 17) with the draw of 11 August 2021 — its closest relative in 20 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 August 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 83 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →29 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈426k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,908 winners, 6% fewer than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 0 | $57,576 |
| Match 4 | 121 | $788 |
| Match 3 | 3,908 | $24.00 |
| Match 2 | 44,282 | $1.00 |
| Totals | 48,311 | — |