Number 32

In New York Lotto under the 6/59 + 1/55 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2010 rules — 83 draws, 6 from 1–59 (an earlier era).

5times drawn · chance expected 8 −1.25σ

51draws waiting · a wait this long: 0.5% for any number

7.0average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8

19longest completed wait · 47% chance of one at least that long

32 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 5 times in 83 draws against 8.4 expected, −1.25σ. Each draw is independent: after 51 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 32, draw by draw

Drawn 5 times in 83 draws · average wait 7.0 draws · longest completed wait 19 · waiting 51 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 32 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.1
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.6
3rd smallest3 · chance 1.5
4th smallest2 · chance 1.7
5th smallest0 · chance 0.9
6th smallest0 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 8 40 42 47 51

Never drawn alongside 39 of the other 58 numbers; chance expects about 38 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 32 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 59. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 32 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2010-04-21	2	3rd	15 21 32 33 51 52
2010-04-14	19	3rd	3 8 32 40 42 51
2010-02-06	2	3rd	2 11 32 42 47 48

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 32 is drawn with probability 6/59 tonight whatever it did last week.