Number 4

In Pick 5 under the 5/40 · since Aug 2023 rules — 1,153 draws, 5 from 1–40.

153times drawn · chance expected 144 +0.79σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 67% for any number

7.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

31longest completed wait · 94% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 153 times in 1,153 draws against 144.1 expected, +0.79σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 153 times in 1,153 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 31 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest114 · chance 109.6
2nd smallest37 · chance 39.8
3rd smallest2 · chance 3.5
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

10 12 35 24 26 11

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-08	6	1st	4 14 25 37 38
2026-10-02	16	2nd	3 4 5 10 34
2026-09-16	16	2nd	3 4 7 8 13
2026-08-31	2	1st	4 11 15 23

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-04-09	7	1st	4 9 18 21 30
2026-04-02	13	1st	4 7 13 14 18
2026-03-20	1	2nd	2 4 11 16 30
2026-03-19	18	1st	4 8 15 20 36
2026-03-01	8	1st	4 20 28 30 39
2026-02-21	12	1st	4 6 15 30 40
2026-02-09	2	1st	4 7 11 27 37
2026-02-07	9	1st	4 13 14 24 33
2026-01-29	12	1st	4 22 26 29 35
2026-01-17	15	1st	4 13 17 25 27
2026-01-02	8	1st	4 5 22 37 38
2025-12-25	23	1st	4 7 10 30 39
2025-12-02	4	1st	4 16 26 39 40
2025-11-28	10	1st	4 7 8 11 39
2025-11-18	3	1st	4 5 23 24 26
2025-11-15	2	2nd	1 4 10 16 27
2025-11-13	13	2nd	2 4 10 16 24
2025-10-31	6	1st	4 9 10 25 35
2025-10-25	12	1st	4 7 20 25 27
2025-10-13	3	1st	4 9 12 19 35
2025-10-10	4	1st	4 5 15 18 32
2025-10-06	2	1st	4 12 15 20 25
2025-10-04	7	1st	4 7 8 9 33
2025-09-27	3	1st	4 13 25 30 34
2025-09-24	3	2nd	2 4 12 26 38
2025-09-21	16	2nd	3 4 26 35 40
2025-09-05	12	2nd	1 4 6 23 32
2025-08-24	2	2nd	1 4 12 14 40
2025-08-22	7	2nd	2 4 11 16 26
2025-08-15	8	1st	4 13 15 24 33
2025-08-07	14	2nd	3 4 14 18 19
2025-07-24	2	1st	4 16 18 38 40
2025-07-22	22	1st	4 15 17 31 36
2025-06-30	8	2nd	3 4 13 31 40
2025-06-22	1	1st	4 14 29 30 37
2025-06-21	2	1st	4 6 7 27 31
2025-06-19	5	1st	4 11 18 31 36
2025-06-14	7	2nd	3 4 18 23 25
2025-06-07	9	1st	4 5 14 15 28
2025-05-29	3	1st	4 11 18 27 32
2025-05-26	3	1st	4 9 19 24 32
2025-05-23	4	1st	4 7 10 14 29
2025-05-19	17	1st	4 9 15 28 33
2025-05-02	5	1st	4 12 23 29 32
2025-04-27	2	1st	4 13 32 33 34
2025-04-25	3	1st	4 15 16 20 24
2025-04-22	2	1st	4 10 24 32 36
2025-04-20	3	1st	4 17 33 34 38
2025-04-17	4	2nd	3 4 7 19 27
2025-04-13	5	2nd	3 4 15 27 34
2025-04-08	6	1st	4 6 16 21 40
2025-04-02	5	1st	4 13 14 23 29
2025-03-28	10	1st	4 6 12 13 25
2025-03-18	2	2nd	3 4 9 10 31
2025-03-16	1	2nd	1 4 5 10 15
2025-03-15	7	1st	4 12 22 36 38
2025-03-08	1	1st	4 6 17 33 37
2025-03-07	31	2nd	1 4 13 29 35
2025-02-04	10	1st	4 8 10 18 22
2025-01-25	4	1st	4 6 15 20 30
2025-01-21	15	1st	4 7 9 13 33
2025-01-06	5	1st	4 14 30 35 37
2025-01-01	5	1st	4 7 10 21 24
2024-12-27	1	1st	4 16 17 23 27
2024-12-26	1	2nd	1 4 15 33 40
2024-12-25	1	1st	4 8 10 12 26
2024-12-24	3	1st	4 17 19 27 33
2024-12-21	3	1st	4 10 11 19 37
2024-12-18	12	1st	4 8 12 18 19
2024-12-06	1	1st	4 26 29 32 38
2024-12-05	2	1st	4 9 10 19 34
2024-12-03	11	1st	4 11 17 34 35
2024-11-22	3	3rd	2 3 4 10 25
2024-11-19	5	1st	4 11 12 30 39
2024-11-14	2	1st	4 11 29 35 39
2024-11-12	5	1st	4 10 24 27 35
2024-11-07	4	2nd	3 4 23 26 28
2024-11-03	4	1st	4 8 9 13 31
2024-10-30	22	1st	4 17 22 26 35
2024-10-08	4	2nd	1 4 8 21 32
2024-10-04	8	1st	4 8 11 20 34
2024-09-26	10	1st	4 12 24 27 33
2024-09-16	21	2nd	3 4 7 24 36
2024-08-26	17	1st	4 5 24 32 38
2024-08-09	11	2nd	2 4 14 23 32
2024-07-29	6	1st	4 10 26 31 35
2024-07-23	4	2nd	2 4 17 35 40
2024-07-19	3	1st	4 12 25 34 40
2024-07-16	3	1st	4 10 11 31 36
2024-07-13	9	2nd	2 4 12 18 27
2024-07-04	12	1st	4 10 18 31 32
2024-06-22	11	1st	4 11 22 24 27
2024-06-11	23	1st	4 6 8 13 17
2024-05-19	9	1st	4 10 23 35 36
2024-05-10	6	2nd	1 4 13 22 24
2024-05-04	5	2nd	1 4 5 25 30
2024-04-29	30	1st	4 16 17 20 23
2024-03-30	17	1st	4 21 32 35 39
2024-03-13	10	1st	4 6 8 13 39
2024-03-03	7	2nd	3 4 6 24 30
2024-02-25	2	1st	4 5 12 15 24
2024-02-23	4	1st	4 5 8 12 16
2024-02-19	9	1st	4 5 24 25 40
2024-02-10	1	1st	4 12 16 28 30
2024-02-09	5	1st	4 14 15 16 23
2024-02-04	10	2nd	2 4 24 27 31
2024-01-25	3	1st	4 5 7 27 35
2024-01-22	1	2nd	1 4 9 23 28
2024-01-21	17	1st	4 8 11 28 40
2024-01-04	13	1st	4 16 25 29 36
2023-12-22	9	1st	4 6 37 38 40
2023-12-13	6	1st	4 17 25 32 35
2023-12-07	1	1st	4 26 27 28 39
2023-12-06	1	1st	4 24 26 35 36
2023-12-05	14	1st	4 22 23 27 29
2023-11-21	6	1st	4 18 19 23 36
2023-11-15	19	1st	4 28 33 34 35
2023-10-27	5	1st	4 5 26 29 32
2023-10-22	4	2nd	2 4 22 31 38
2023-10-18	5	1st	4 10 12 23 34
2023-10-13	17	1st	4 15 18 21 37
2023-09-26	2	3rd	1 3 4 11 12
2023-09-24	13	1st	4 14 16 19 31
2023-09-11	2	1st	4 31 32 35 37
2023-09-09	4	2nd	3 4 27 33 40
2023-09-05	6	1st	4 12 13 26 34
2023-08-30	4	1st	4 10 15 18 29
2023-08-26	1	1st	4 5 10 19 35
2023-08-25	—	1st	4 22 35 38 39