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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · NE · ball game
Latest drawTuesday, 13 October 2026
Jackpot$70,000
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 14 Oct 2026, 05:02 UTC.
5 numbers from 1–40. 5,321 draws held here since 2010-04-07 — 1,154 under the current rules.
Pick 5 changed its number pool then, which started a new era. Only the 1,154 draws since count towards number statistics — mixing draws from before a rule change would make any frequency meaningless.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Pick 5 come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Pick 5 already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 1,154 draws every number is expected about 144 times, and a ball favoured by more than 32% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 8 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 24 or more. It is never “due”.

The 5 numbers add up to about 103, give or take 24. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

42.7% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

780 possible pairs, each expected together 14.8 times so far — and about 8 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 40 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

51% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 63.6% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 6.8 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 33 draws for every one of the 40 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

658,008 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 1,154 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 7, the highest near 34. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

5/40 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 2% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 252 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 5/40 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 5-of-40 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,153 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 21, 30, 37) with the draw of 31 December 2024 — its closest relative in 1,153 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 27% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 120 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 14 Oct 2026, 05:02 UTC.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,153 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
These waits do not fall away from zero the way the law does — they pile up in the middle. That is what happens when the chance of a win is not the same on every draw of a run: few tickets are sold when the prize is small, and so many when it is enormous that a win becomes close to certain. The wait is more predictable than a constant chance allows, and less predictable than it feels.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 4 | 5.5 |
| 3–5 | 2 | 4.3 |
| 6–8 | 6 | 3.4 |
| 9–11 | 3 | 2.6 |
| 12–14 | 2 | 2.0 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 1.6 |
| 18–20 | 2 | 1.2 |
| 21–23 | 3 | 1.0 |
| 24–26 | 1 | 0.7 |
| 27–29 | 0 | 0.6 |
| 30+ | 1 | 2.1 |
Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,152 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 10, 20) with the draw of 27 July 2026 — its closest relative in 1,152 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 October 2026): 3 carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 55 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,151 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 11, 27) with the draw of 11 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,151 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 76 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,150 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 14, 26) with the draw of 19 July 2026 — its closest relative in 1,150 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 October 2026): 9 carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 83 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,149 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 25, 34) with the draw of 18 September 2026 — its closest relative in 1,149 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 October 2026): 25 carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 94 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,148 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (14, 25, 37, 38) with the draw of 29 June 2024 — its closest relative in 1,148 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 26% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 118 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →37 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,147 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 12, 21) with the draw of 10 July 2026 — its closest relative in 1,147 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 October 2026): 2, 19 carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 69 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,146 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 14, 17) with the draw of 8 October 2025 — its closest relative in 1,146 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 70 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18, 18–19. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →2 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,145 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 33, 34) with the draw of 23 July 2026 — its closest relative in 1,145 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 108 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,144 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 17, 24, 27) with the draw of 25 August 2025 — its closest relative in 1,144 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 26% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 104 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 40 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,143 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 21, 31) with the draw of 15 September 2026 — its closest relative in 1,143 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 97 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,142 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 10, 34) with the draw of 30 September 2026 — its closest relative in 1,142 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 56 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4, 4–5. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →