Number 15

In Pick 5 under the 5/40 · since Aug 2023 rules — 1,153 draws, 5 from 1–40.

153times drawn · chance expected 144 +0.79σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 59% for any number

7.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

36longest completed wait · 76% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 153 times in 1,153 draws against 144.1 expected, +0.79σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 153 times in 1,153 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest26 · chance 23.5
2nd smallest52 · chance 59.9
3rd smallest59 · chance 50.8
4th smallest15 · chance 16.9
5th smallest1 · chance 1.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

17 25 26 32 16 4

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-07	12	3rd	2 12 15 19 21
2026-09-25	25	2nd	3 15 17 22 29
2026-08-31	8	3rd	4 11 15 23 34
2026-08-23	8	2nd	7 15 18 26

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-03-19	2	3rd	4 8 15 20 36
2026-03-17	13	2nd	11 15 19 26 39
2026-03-04	7	1st	15 26 35 36 39
2026-02-25	2	1st	15 18 19 30 38
2026-02-23	2	2nd	13 15 20 23 25
2026-02-21	6	3rd	4 6 15 30 40
2026-02-15	3	1st	15 25 27 33 37
2026-02-12	7	2nd	12 15 17 29 37
2026-02-05	4	2nd	10 15 22 27 35
2026-02-01	14	2nd	9 15 22 25 29
2026-01-18	7	3rd	8 12 15 16 20
2026-01-11	2	2nd	9 15 16 18 22
2026-01-09	4	2nd	13 15 25 33 36
2026-01-05	13	3rd	8 11 15 20 32
2025-12-23	7	3rd	3 6 15 18 31
2025-12-16	7	4th	5 10 11 15 17
2025-12-09	13	4th	2 11 14 15 38
2025-11-26	15	2nd	13 15 16 20 37
2025-11-11	2	2nd	2 15 21 31 37
2025-11-09	7	1st	15 19 20 22 32
2025-11-02	4	2nd	13 15 25 29 39
2025-10-29	1	2nd	7 15 23 34 36
2025-10-28	6	3rd	11 14 15 16 19
2025-10-22	6	3rd	9 12 15 22 26
2025-10-16	1	3rd	5 7 15 26 27
2025-10-15	5	3rd	7 10 15 34 40
2025-10-10	2	3rd	4 5 15 18 32
2025-10-08	2	4th	2 6 14 15 17
2025-10-06	3	3rd	4 12 15 20 25
2025-10-03	8	2nd	13 15 26 27 30
2025-09-25	9	3rd	1 11 15 20 23
2025-09-16	13	3rd	10 12 15 23 28
2025-09-03	19	3rd	1 12 15 25 26
2025-08-15	2	3rd	4 13 15 24 33
2025-08-13	2	3rd	3 7 15 25 30
2025-08-11	11	1st	15 19 22 26 39
2025-07-31	6	3rd	1 5 15 20 32
2025-07-25	3	3rd	11 12 15 29 40
2025-07-22	5	2nd	4 15 17 31 36
2025-07-17	4	3rd	1 14 15 21 25
2025-07-13	17	2nd	8 15 17 30 38
2025-06-26	10	3rd	6 12 15 25 31
2025-06-16	9	4th	2 5 6 15 40
2025-06-07	11	4th	4 5 14 15 28
2025-05-27	8	1st	15 17 22 26 34
2025-05-19	13	3rd	4 9 15 28 33
2025-05-06	2	2nd	8 15 19 22 28
2025-05-04	8	2nd	13 15 16 31 40
2025-04-26	1	2nd	9 15 24 27 29
2025-04-25	1	2nd	4 15 16 20 24
2025-04-24	1	3rd	7 13 15 36 38
2025-04-23	4	2nd	10 15 17 32 38
2025-04-19	3	2nd	6 15 19 31 32
2025-04-16	1	1st	15 23 25 31 35
2025-04-15	2	3rd	5 9 15 16 35
2025-04-13	3	3rd	3 4 15 27 34
2025-04-10	1	3rd	1 13 15 27 33
2025-04-09	24	2nd	9 15 25 32 33
2025-03-16	13	5th	1 4 5 10 15
2025-03-03	14	1st	15 25 33 35 37
2025-02-17	4	2nd	14 15 18 19 34
2025-02-13	19	1st	15 16 25 26 33
2025-01-25	11	3rd	4 6 15 20 30
2025-01-14	4	1st	15 24 28 31 37
2025-01-10	8	3rd	7 9 15 25 32
2025-01-02	7	1st	15 24 32 35 39
2024-12-26	4	3rd	1 4 15 33 40
2024-12-22	8	1st	15 17 24 34 38
2024-12-14	3	3rd	3 14 15 18 21
2024-12-11	1	3rd	8 12 15 29 39
2024-12-10	10	1st	15 20 24 27 37
2024-11-30	5	2nd	12 15 17 20 34
2024-11-25	2	1st	15 17 29 37 39
2024-11-23	8	2nd	8 15 19 29 34
2024-11-15	6	1st	15 26 29 33 34
2024-11-09	8	3rd	2 5 15 17 21
2024-11-01	1	1st	15 16 17 26 30
2024-10-31	2	4th	1 8 12 15 37
2024-10-29	34	3rd	1 3 15 19 28
2024-09-25	6	3rd	3 10 15 20 27
2024-09-19	14	2nd	7 15 27 36 40
2024-09-05	11	2nd	14 15 20 28 30
2024-08-25	3	2nd	7 15 23 30 38
2024-08-22	7	1st	15 21 22 23 34
2024-08-15	5	1st	15 25 30 31 35
2024-08-10	8	3rd	5 8 15 17 37
2024-08-02	7	2nd	10 15 21 25 28
2024-07-26	8	4th	3 12 13 15 23
2024-07-18	15	2nd	9 15 18 25 39
2024-07-03	26	2nd	13 15 27 28 40
2024-06-07	5	3rd	8 11 15 16 25
2024-06-02	3	4th	3 10 13 15 34
2024-05-30	19	3rd	1 2 15 32 35
2024-05-11	4	2nd	10 15 16 29 37
2024-05-07	36	3rd	1 8 15 24 32
2024-04-01	4	1st	15 24 28 34 38
2024-03-28	1	3rd	6 13 15 32 39
2024-03-27	15	2nd	10 15 17 24 28
2024-03-12	12	2nd	5 15 18 30 35
2024-02-29	4	2nd	8 15 18 19 40
2024-02-25	8	4th	4 5 12 15 24
2024-02-17	1	2nd	3 15 16 17 26
2024-02-16	1	2nd	10 15 16 18 33
2024-02-15	6	1st	15 16 24 27 29
2024-02-09	26	3rd	4 14 15 16 23
2024-01-14	6	1st	15 29 32 33 36
2024-01-08	6	2nd	11 15 19 26 28
2024-01-02	1	3rd	1 10 15 17 35
2024-01-01	18	2nd	2 15 28 34 36
2023-12-14	4	2nd	13 15 17 19 21
2023-12-10	1	3rd	7 11 15 32 33
2023-12-09	10	3rd	2 7 15 25 30
2023-11-29	19	4th	9 11 12 15 34
2023-11-10	10	3rd	6 12 15 24 35
2023-10-31	10	2nd	10 15 26 31 33
2023-10-21	2	4th	6 11 14 15 36
2023-10-19	6	1st	15 16 28 32 34
2023-10-13	2	2nd	4 15 18 21 37
2023-10-11	3	4th	2 6 11 15 26
2023-10-08	19	3rd	6 11 15 33 40
2023-09-19	4	1st	15 21 23 27 32
2023-09-15	1	2nd	6 15 22 35 36
2023-09-14	1	3rd	5 11 15 18 20
2023-09-13	9	3rd	2 6 15 32 36
2023-09-04	2	2nd	1 15 26 34 35
2023-09-02	2	1st	15 16 21 24 31
2023-08-31	1	3rd	2 8 15 27 29
2023-08-30	12	3rd	4 10 15 18 29
2023-08-18	—	3rd	5 7 15 21 35