Big Sky Bonus · every number
23
Number 23 In Big Sky Bonus under the 4/31 + 1/16 · since Oct 2024 rules — 727 draws, 4 from 1–31.
Main numbers Stars 4/31 + 1/16 · since Oct 2024 4/31 + 1/17 · Nov 2016 – Oct 2024 4/28 · Apr 2016 – Nov 2016 78 times drawn · chance expected 94 −1.75σ
16 draws waiting · a wait this long: 13% for any number
9.2 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8
32 longest completed wait · 66% chance of one at least that long
23 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 78 times in 727 draws against 93.8 expected, −1.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 16 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
23 Number 23, draw by draw Drawn 78 times in 727 draws · average wait 9.2 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 16 draws now
15 draws: 2024-10-20 to 2024-11-04 5 draws: 2024-11-04 to 2024-11-09 15 draws: 2024-11-09 to 2024-11-24 13 draws: 2024-11-24 to 2024-12-07 1 draws: 2024-12-07 to 2024-12-08 4 draws: 2024-12-08 to 2024-12-12 2 draws: 2024-12-12 to 2024-12-14 8 draws: 2024-12-14 to 2024-12-22 10 draws: 2024-12-22 to 2025-01-01 8 draws: 2025-01-01 to 2025-01-09 6 draws: 2025-01-09 to 2025-01-15 5 draws: 2025-01-15 to 2025-01-20 28 draws: 2025-01-20 to 2025-02-17 32 draws: 2025-02-17 to 2025-03-21 4 draws: 2025-03-21 to 2025-03-25 7 draws: 2025-03-25 to 2025-04-01 3 draws: 2025-04-01 to 2025-04-04 12 draws: 2025-04-04 to 2025-04-16 3 draws: 2025-04-16 to 2025-04-19 3 draws: 2025-04-19 to 2025-04-22 19 draws: 2025-04-22 to 2025-05-11 5 draws: 2025-05-11 to 2025-05-16 13 draws: 2025-05-16 to 2025-05-29 13 draws: 2025-05-29 to 2025-06-11 5 draws: 2025-06-11 to 2025-06-16 6 draws: 2025-06-16 to 2025-06-22 6 draws: 2025-06-22 to 2025-06-28 3 draws: 2025-06-28 to 2025-07-01 2 draws: 2025-07-01 to 2025-07-03 4 draws: 2025-07-03 to 2025-07-07 3 draws: 2025-07-07 to 2025-07-10 15 draws: 2025-07-10 to 2025-07-25 18 draws: 2025-07-25 to 2025-08-12 13 draws: 2025-08-12 to 2025-08-25 3 draws: 2025-08-25 to 2025-08-28 8 draws: 2025-08-28 to 2025-09-05 19 draws: 2025-09-05 to 2025-09-24 9 draws: 2025-09-24 to 2025-10-03 7 draws: 2025-10-03 to 2025-10-10 9 draws: 2025-10-10 to 2025-10-19 10 draws: 2025-10-19 to 2025-10-29 2 draws: 2025-10-29 to 2025-10-31 5 draws: 2025-10-31 to 2025-11-05 13 draws: 2025-11-05 to 2025-11-18 5 draws: 2025-11-18 to 2025-11-23 12 draws: 2025-11-23 to 2025-12-05 2 draws: 2025-12-05 to 2025-12-07 21 draws: 2025-12-07 to 2025-12-28 6 draws: 2025-12-28 to 2026-01-03 1 draws: 2026-01-03 to 2026-01-04 2 draws: 2026-01-04 to 2026-01-06 4 draws: 2026-01-06 to 2026-01-10 10 draws: 2026-01-10 to 2026-01-20 6 draws: 2026-01-20 to 2026-01-26 2 draws: 2026-01-26 to 2026-01-28 14 draws: 2026-01-28 to 2026-02-11 23 draws: 2026-02-11 to 2026-03-06 11 draws: 2026-03-06 to 2026-03-17 15 draws: 2026-03-17 to 2026-04-01 1 draws: 2026-04-01 to 2026-04-02 2 draws: 2026-04-02 to 2026-04-04 16 draws: 2026-04-04 to 2026-04-20 13 draws: 2026-04-20 to 2026-05-03 4 draws: 2026-05-03 to 2026-05-07 14 draws: 2026-05-07 to 2026-05-21 1 draws: 2026-05-21 to 2026-05-22 5 draws: 2026-05-22 to 2026-05-27 18 draws: 2026-05-27 to 2026-06-14 16 draws: 2026-06-14 to 2026-06-30 1 draws: 2026-06-30 to 2026-07-01 9 draws: 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-10 3 draws: 2026-07-10 to 2026-07-13 3 draws: 2026-07-13 to 2026-07-16 26 draws: 2026-07-16 to 2026-08-11 24 draws: 2026-08-11 to 2026-09-04 16 draws: 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-20 6 draws: 2026-09-20 to 2026-09-26 Still waiting — at least 16 draws since 2026-09-26 2024-10-20 2024-11-04 2024-11-09 2024-11-24 2024-12-07 2024-12-08 2024-12-12 2024-12-14 2024-12-22 2025-01-01 2025-01-09 2025-01-15 2025-01-20 2025-02-17 2025-03-21 2025-03-25 2025-04-01 2025-04-04 2025-04-16 2025-04-19 2025-04-22 2025-05-11 2025-05-16 2025-05-29 2025-06-11 2025-06-16 2025-06-22 2025-06-28 2025-07-01 2025-07-03 2025-07-07 2025-07-10 2025-07-25 2025-08-12 2025-08-25 2025-08-28 2025-09-05 2025-09-24 2025-10-03 2025-10-10 2025-10-19 2025-10-29 2025-10-31 2025-11-05 2025-11-18 2025-11-23 2025-12-05 2025-12-07 2025-12-28 2026-01-03 2026-01-04 2026-01-06 2026-01-10 2026-01-20 2026-01-26 2026-01-28 2026-02-11 2026-03-06 2026-03-17 2026-04-01 2026-04-02 2026-04-04 2026-04-20 2026-05-03 2026-05-07 2026-05-21 2026-05-22 2026-05-27 2026-06-14 2026-06-30 2026-07-01 2026-07-10 2026-07-13 2026-07-16 2026-08-11 2026-09-04 2026-09-20 2026-09-26 2024-10-16 2026-10-12 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 5 times 2 draws: 7 times 3 draws: 8 times 4 draws: 5 times 5 draws: 7 times 6 draws: 6 times 7 draws: 2 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 3 times 10 draws: 3 times 11 draws: 1 time 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 6 times 14 draws: 2 times 15 draws: 4 times 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 1 time 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 1 time 33 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 0 · chance 1.1 2nd smallest 10 · chance 11.8 3rd smallest 41 · chance 35.5 4th smallest 27 · chance 29.6 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 30 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 31. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 23 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 22 Every number number 24 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 4/31 tonight whatever it did last week.