Number 10

In Big Sky Bonus under the 4/31 + 1/16 · since Oct 2024 rules — 727 draws, 4 from 1–31.

89times drawn · chance expected 94 −0.53σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 76% for any number

8.2average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

46longest completed wait · 16% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 89 times in 727 draws against 93.8 expected, −0.53σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 89 times in 727 draws · average wait 8.2 draws · longest completed wait 46 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest37 · chance 29.2
2nd smallest39 · chance 41.4
3rd smallest11 · chance 16.6
4th smallest2 · chance 1.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

19 18 16 29 6 22

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 30 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 31. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-09	3	2nd	6 10 17 20
2026-10-06	3	2nd	1 10 19 29
2026-10-03	5	2nd	5 10 11 16
2026-09-28	4	2nd	4 10 15 16
2026-09-24	11	2nd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 4/31 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-05-13	16	3rd	2 6 10 16
2026-04-27	1	2nd	6 10 20 25
2026-04-26	8	2nd	8 10 21 31
2026-04-18	14	1st	10 16 29 31
2026-04-04	24	2nd	2 10 23 29
2026-03-11	4	2nd	5 10 11 25
2026-03-07	6	1st	10 19 29 30
2026-03-01	22	2nd	3 10 19 22
2026-02-07	12	2nd	9 10 16 26
2026-01-26	2	1st	10 18 23 29
2026-01-24	1	3rd	1 5 10 16
2026-01-23	5	2nd	1 10 25 29
2026-01-18	4	2nd	7 10 19 20
2026-01-14	14	2nd	9 10 11 21
2025-12-31	1	1st	10 17 21 27
2025-12-30	1	2nd	8 10 18 22
2025-12-29	7	2nd	6 10 11 18
2025-12-22	5	1st	10 11 16 19
2025-12-17	8	2nd	8 10 18 19
2025-12-09	7	4th	1 6 7 10
2025-12-02	2	1st	10 19 26 29
2025-11-30	2	1st	10 12 17 31
2025-11-28	12	3rd	6 9 10 25
2025-11-16	7	1st	10 13 17 27
2025-11-09	6	1st	10 11 14 27
2025-11-03	11	4th	4 6 8 10
2025-10-23	1	2nd	9 10 14 17
2025-10-22	2	2nd	5 10 16 20
2025-10-20	12	3rd	4 5 10 28
2025-10-08	1	1st	10 18 25 30
2025-10-07	21	2nd	6 10 25 27
2025-09-16	1	2nd	9 10 19 28
2025-09-15	21	2nd	3 10 19 30
2025-08-25	17	1st	10 18 23 27
2025-08-08	3	2nd	5 10 18 27
2025-08-05	9	2nd	5 10 16 19
2025-07-27	17	1st	10 11 14 17
2025-07-10	12	1st	10 13 23 29
2025-06-28	3	1st	10 17 23 24
2025-06-25	5	1st	10 14 20 21
2025-06-20	2	1st	10 15 28 29
2025-06-18	4	3rd	4 7 10 31
2025-06-14	4	2nd	3 10 19 21
2025-06-10	2	1st	10 22 25 27
2025-06-08	6	1st	10 20 21 28
2025-06-02	1	2nd	6 10 18 24
2025-06-01	9	1st	10 13 19 25
2025-05-23	6	2nd	3 10 26 31
2025-05-17	6	2nd	2 10 18 29
2025-05-11	12	1st	10 18 23 28
2025-04-29	20	1st	10 18 25 27
2025-04-09	23	2nd	4 10 13 18
2025-03-17	12	1st	10 20 21 31
2025-03-05	10	2nd	1 10 12 15
2025-02-23	22	2nd	6 10 28 29
2025-02-01	13	1st	10 14 24 30
2025-01-19	6	3rd	6 7 10 12
2025-01-13	6	1st	10 11 22 29
2025-01-07	8	2nd	1 10 17 27
2024-12-30	6	2nd	1 10 18 27
2024-12-24	46	1st	10 21 26 30
2024-11-08	8	1st	10 15 20 26
2024-10-31	2	3rd	2 4 10 30
2024-10-29	11	2nd	2 10 16 26
2024-10-18	—	3rd	3 4 10 24