Number 15

In North 5 under the 5/34 · since Jan 2025 rules — 642 draws, 5 from 1–34.

106times drawn · chance expected 94 +1.29σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 85% for any number

6.1average wait between appearances · chance says 6.8

21longest completed wait · 99% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 106 times in 642 draws against 94.4 expected, +1.29σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 106 times in 642 draws · average wait 6.1 draws · longest completed wait 21 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest10 · chance 10.0
2nd smallest36 · chance 35.1
3rd smallest38 · chance 40.3
4th smallest18 · chance 17.9
5th smallest4 · chance 2.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 12.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

26 20 5 24 32 4

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 33 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 34. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	1	2nd	11 15 19 26 27
2026-10-09	3	3rd	5 7 15 21 29
2026-10-06	2	3rd	1 3 15 18 20
2026-10-04	17	5th	2 10 11 13

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/34 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-04-26	8	2nd	14 15 19 21 30
2026-04-18	6	2nd	14 15 20 29 32
2026-04-12	4	3rd	5 10 15 17 24
2026-04-08	3	2nd	5 15 24 26 33
2026-04-05	1	1st	15 18 23 26 32
2026-04-04	12	4th	3 6 8 15 19
2026-03-23	7	2nd	12 15 23 28 33
2026-03-16	15	3rd	5 11 15 16 34
2026-03-01	13	4th	6 7 14 15 32
2026-02-16	6	4th	4 7 10 15 24
2026-02-10	2	3rd	4 14 15 29 34
2026-02-08	4	4th	5 10 13 15 24
2026-02-04	5	2nd	8 15 21 29 33
2026-01-30	1	4th	5 11 12 15 20
2026-01-29	1	4th	3 5 8 15 18
2026-01-28	13	2nd	6 15 17 20 33
2026-01-15	2	3rd	4 10 15 25 34
2026-01-13	21	3rd	1 12 15 23 31
2025-12-23	3	2nd	4 15 16 28 29
2025-12-20	3	3rd	1 5 15 17 33
2025-12-17	20	2nd	6 15 18 19 23
2025-11-27	9	3rd	5 12 15 23 26
2025-11-18	3	2nd	1 15 21 22 26
2025-11-15	4	2nd	1 15 24 27 31
2025-11-11	12	1st	15 16 18 27 28
2025-10-30	3	2nd	6 15 18 26 30
2025-10-27	1	3rd	1 13 15 30 34
2025-10-26	2	1st	15 20 26 27 30
2025-10-24	3	2nd	5 15 17 24 34
2025-10-21	2	5th	1 2 3 9 15
2025-10-19	2	4th	11 13 14 15 28
2025-10-17	2	3rd	2 8 15 17 33
2025-10-15	4	2nd	9 15 19 20 31
2025-10-11	6	3rd	12 14 15 26 27
2025-10-05	6	3rd	6 9 15 18 29
2025-09-29	8	2nd	11 15 21 31 33
2025-09-21	1	4th	3 4 13 15 19
2025-09-20	8	1st	15 18 20 23 31
2025-09-12	1	4th	1 4 7 15 32
2025-09-11	7	1st	15 16 17 30 31
2025-09-04	4	1st	15 20 28 31 34
2025-08-31	8	2nd	2 15 20 25 32
2025-08-23	4	3rd	2 3 15 26 32
2025-08-19	5	1st	15 18 19 22 24
2025-08-14	2	2nd	5 15 24 29 33
2025-08-12	4	3rd	1 10 15 24 31
2025-08-08	10	4th	1 10 11 15 23
2025-07-29	11	4th	9 10 13 15 21
2025-07-18	5	2nd	14 15 20 22 25
2025-07-13	5	3rd	8 10 15 21 32
2025-07-08	5	5th	2 5 7 11 15
2025-07-03	3	3rd	7 8 15 27 32
2025-06-30	5	4th	4 8 13 15 17
2025-06-25	1	2nd	4 15 18 25 30
2025-06-24	3	2nd	4 15 19 25 26
2025-06-21	4	3rd	8 12 15 24 32
2025-06-17	16	3rd	1 2 15 20 32
2025-06-01	8	2nd	4 15 22 27 34
2025-05-24	1	3rd	7 11 15 17 26
2025-05-23	3	3rd	10 11 15 21 22
2025-05-20	1	1st	15 18 20 24 25
2025-05-19	1	3rd	2 7 15 17 29
2025-05-18	3	3rd	1 8 15 22 26
2025-05-15	9	3rd	4 8 15 20 32
2025-05-06	2	2nd	8 15 18 19 32
2025-05-04	6	3rd	3 6 15 19 23
2025-04-28	11	4th	2 6 7 15 34
2025-04-17	14	2nd	2 15 26 31 33
2025-04-03	14	2nd	14 15 20 22 24
2025-03-20	2	3rd	4 7 15 30 32
2025-03-18	16	3rd	6 8 15 19 34
2025-03-02	13	3rd	7 13 15 16 20
2025-02-17	4	2nd	4 15 22 26 32
2025-02-13	4	2nd	2 15 16 26 28
2025-02-09	1	3rd	8 13 15 17 33
2025-02-08	2	3rd	13 14 15 24 33
2025-02-06	15	2nd	7 15 17 20 32
2025-01-22	1	2nd	8 15 17 21 23
2025-01-21	7	3rd	2 7 15 23 30
2025-01-14	2	3rd	5 6 15 19 23
2025-01-12	2	1st	15 20 25 26 33
2025-01-10	—	2nd	2 15 16 20 32