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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Mega Millions · every number · star deck
In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 159 draws, 1 from 1–24.
Drawn 9 times in 159 draws against 6.6 expected, +0.94σ. Each draw is independent: after 39 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 9 times in 159 draws · average wait 11.0 draws · longest completed wait 21 · waiting 39 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 7 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 23 of the other 23 numbers; chance expects about 23 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 7 is picked about 1.54× as often as an indifferent choice — 1st most popular of 24. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | 1 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-05-26 | 10 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-04-21 | 12 | 1st | 7 |
| 2026-03-10 | 21 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-12-26 | 3 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-12-16 | 9 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-11-14 | 18 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-09-12 | 14 | 1st | 7 |
| 2025-07-25 | — | 1st |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 7 is drawn with probability 1/24 tonight whatever it did last week.