Number 15

In Lucky for Life under the 5/48 + 1/18 · since Jan 2015 rules — 2,354 draws, 5 from 1–48.

261times drawn · chance expected 245 +1.07σ

17draws waiting · a wait this long: 17% for any number

9.0average wait between appearances · chance says 9.6

48longest completed wait · 77% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 261 times in 2,354 draws against 245.2 expected, +1.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 17 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 261 times in 2,354 draws · average wait 9.0 draws · longest completed wait 48 · waiting 17 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest60 · chance 59.9
2nd smallest106 · chance 111.8
3rd smallest78 · chance 70.3
4th smallest16 · chance 17.6
5th smallest1 · chance 1.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 22.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

37 4 40 43 21 8

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 47 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 48. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-02-04	28	3rd	6 13 15 36 46
2026-01-07	5	3rd	5 14 15 21 39
2026-01-02	3	2nd	9 15 20 21 25
2025-12-30	4	3rd	3 7 15

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/48 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-05-12	6	3rd	9 13 15 16 48
2025-05-06	10	1st	15 31 33 35 46
2025-04-26	1	1st	15 38 40 45 48
2025-04-25	1	2nd	9 15 40 41 48
2025-04-24	1	2nd	13 15 20 31 38
2025-04-23	18	3rd	8 14 15 23 24
2025-04-05	8	2nd	8 15 29 37 47
2025-03-28	2	2nd	10 15 23 31 40
2025-03-26	23	3rd	8 12 15 39 44
2025-03-03	11	2nd	10 15 21 27 45
2025-02-20	4	1st	15 39 40 42 47
2025-02-16	8	2nd	3 15 16 19 32
2025-02-08	36	3rd	1 7 15 17 40
2025-01-03	2	2nd	14 15 20 23 28
2025-01-01	5	2nd	7 15 17 39 40
2024-12-27	14	1st	15 21 24 32 43
2024-12-13	42	2nd	3 15 32 34 37
2024-11-01	7	1st	15 37 39 45 47
2024-10-25	5	3rd	1 3 15 33 36
2024-10-20	5	2nd	3 15 21 37 38
2024-10-15	6	1st	15 20 21 24 38
2024-10-09	10	2nd	11 15 31 36 45
2024-09-29	4	2nd	7 15 27 31 38
2024-09-25	9	3rd	4 7 15 21 31
2024-09-16	3	3rd	1 2 15 17 39
2024-09-13	13	2nd	14 15 18 33 40
2024-08-31	12	2nd	2 15 37 45 46
2024-08-19	13	1st	15 17 35 40 45
2024-08-06	3	2nd	4 15 21 22 35
2024-08-03	10	3rd	8 10 15 17 21
2024-07-24	1	1st	15 18 21 25 36
2024-07-23	16	3rd	1 4 15 25 31
2024-07-07	2	3rd	7 13 15 30 34
2024-07-05	3	2nd	7 15 23 41 48
2024-07-02	7	2nd	9 15 18 28 34
2024-06-25	8	1st	15 20 23 33 45
2024-06-17	5	1st	15 26 32 38 46
2024-06-12	5	3rd	3 12 15 19 34
2024-06-07	9	3rd	3 12 15 25 32
2024-05-29	7	3rd	9 12 15 41 46
2024-05-22	2	3rd	5 8 15 17 37
2024-05-20	17	2nd	12 15 19 20 47
2024-05-03	7	1st	15 19 32 34 36
2024-04-26	13	2nd	11 15 27 28 46
2024-04-13	16	1st	15 20 34 36 43
2024-03-28	11	2nd	9 15 29 38 39
2024-03-17	17	2nd	1 15 20 43 44
2024-02-29	13	1st	15 21 37 41 44
2024-02-16	6	3rd	4 12 15 36 46
2024-02-10	31	2nd	13 15 27 31 40
2024-01-10	4	3rd	2 3 15 22 30
2024-01-06	1	2nd	8 15 20 38 39
2024-01-05	1	1st	15 21 29 35 41
2024-01-04	3	2nd	10 15 30 45 46
2024-01-01	7	3rd	6 7 15 31 43
2023-12-25	19	2nd	4 15 27 29 30
2023-12-06	3	3rd	4 9 15 25 40
2023-12-03	2	2nd	11 15 28 36 40
2023-12-01	3	1st	15 33 34 41 43
2023-11-28	4	2nd	9 15 18 31 40
2023-11-24	9	3rd	3 12 15 38 44
2023-11-15	6	3rd	5 6 15 20 48
2023-11-09	13	2nd	2 15 22 35 39
2023-10-27	4	3rd	8 13 15 29 48
2023-10-23	6	3rd	11 13 15 22 44
2023-10-17	1	3rd	2 14 15 21 35
2023-10-16	4	2nd	9 15 17 18 48
2023-10-12	7	2nd	11 15 22 28 29
2023-10-05	8	1st	15 23 30 40 41
2023-09-27	4	1st	15 26 31 33 38
2023-09-23	6	1st	15 18 30 44 46
2023-09-17	26	2nd	11 15 17 24 48
2023-08-22	1	3rd	5 14 15 33 43
2023-08-21	11	3rd	2 12 15 28 43
2023-08-10	8	2nd	8 15 23 38 42
2023-08-02	7	2nd	4 15 31 39 46
2023-07-26	4	2nd	4 15 32 34 38
2023-07-22	10	1st	15 22 23 30 44
2023-07-12	2	1st	15 16 18 20 45
2023-07-10	3	2nd	6 15 32 34 39
2023-07-07	10	3rd	2 3 15 16 34
2023-06-27	4	2nd	1 15 20 31 44
2023-06-23	4	1st	15 23 27 38 48
2023-06-19	10	1st	15 17 22 43 45
2023-06-09	4	2nd	3 15 17 21 35
2023-06-05	1	1st	15 20 23 33 46
2023-06-04	3	2nd	13 15 20 35 41
2023-06-01	15	2nd	2 15 17 22 28
2023-05-17	8	1st	15 22 28 29 41
2023-05-09	1	3rd	6 12 15 41 46
2023-05-08	20	2nd	3 15 31 33 44
2023-04-18	4	1st	15 19 22 23 34
2023-04-14	5	2nd	3 15 38 40 44
2023-04-09	36	2nd	12 15 28 35 37
2023-03-04	19	3rd	4 7 15 17 30
2023-02-13	7	3rd	1 8 15 39 48
2023-02-06	6	3rd	1 5 15 39 46
2023-01-31	2	4th	2 3 10 15 22
2023-01-29	3	1st	15 16 21 23 46
2023-01-26	16	1st	15 17 26 29 35
2023-01-10	5	2nd	7 15 29 41 43
2023-01-05	3	2nd	7 15 23 32 40
2023-01-02	5	3rd	4 12 15 25 44
2022-12-28	4	4th	7 10 14 15 41
2022-12-24	12	3rd	4 7 15 25 36
2022-12-12	1	2nd	13 15 29 36 44
2022-12-11	6	2nd	4 15 28 32 45
2022-12-05	5	1st	15 19 20 38 48
2022-11-30	6	4th	5 6 11 15 30
2022-11-24	10	2nd	12 15 22 25 43
2022-11-14	6	2nd	4 15 19 36 43
2022-11-08	1	1st	15 17 33 37 40
2022-11-07	3	3rd	11 12 15 34 43
2022-11-04	8	3rd	7 14 15 36 43
2022-10-27	11	1st	15 28 29 37 43
2022-10-16	1	3rd	6 14 15 20 33
2022-10-15	3	2nd	8 15 25 34 43
2022-10-12	2	3rd	10 14 15 17 30
2022-10-10	21	1st	15 16 20 28 40
2022-09-19	6	4th	4 6 11 15 42
2022-09-13	14	2nd	12 15 28 29 48
2022-08-30	8	2nd	8 15 19 46 47
2022-08-22	8	3rd	6 7 15 41 43
2022-08-14	2	3rd	1 3 15 17 37
2022-08-12	1	1st	15 26 28 38 42
2022-08-11	13	3rd	3 8 15 43 46
2022-07-29	1	3rd	3 11 15 16 45
2022-07-28	22	2nd	5 15 20 37 46
2022-07-06	1	3rd	1 6 15 35 42
2022-07-05	1	2nd	8 15 23 33 48
2022-07-04	10	4th	5 7 8 15 30
2022-06-24	6	1st	15 18 28 41 44
2022-06-18	11	2nd	12 15 16 25 47
2022-06-07	6	3rd	4 10 15 23 47
2022-06-01	3	2nd	11 15 26 35 44
2022-05-29	10	2nd	6 15 29 35 38
2022-05-19	7	1st	15 16 18 23 25
2022-05-12	13	1st	15 21 23 32 45
2022-04-29	15	2nd	8 15 20 32 39
2022-04-14	2	3rd	5 13 15 30 37
2022-04-12	7	3rd	1 14 15 31 32
2022-04-05	7	2nd	1 15 28 29 41
2022-03-29	16	2nd	6 15 16 22 47
2022-03-13	7	4th	4 7 9 15 28
2022-03-06	5	1st	15 29 34 44 46
2022-03-01	9	1st	15 21 30 31 35
2022-02-20	25	2nd	12 15 24 35 48
2022-01-26	4	3rd	10 11 15 18 22
2022-01-22	23	2nd	9 15 17 21 48
2021-12-30	48	2nd	7 15 19 26 32
2021-11-12	5	2nd	7 15 21 22 35
2021-11-07	12	1st	15 18 24 30 42
2021-10-26	11	3rd	9 11 15 25 37
2021-10-15	12	2nd	5 15 21 32 45
2021-10-03	2	1st	15 35 36 39 46
2021-10-01	23	2nd	2 15 38 43 47
2021-09-08	8	3rd	2 5 15 35 44
2021-08-31	9	2nd	6 15 27 36 37
2021-08-22	12	3rd	5 8 15 23 39
2021-08-10	5	1st	15 22 34 44 48
2021-08-05	2	2nd	5 15 36 44 46
2021-08-03	11	2nd	10 15 18 41 45
2021-07-23	5	2nd	5 15 17 24 29
2021-07-15	4	4th	5 10 14 15 19
2021-07-01	31	1st	15 22 30 33 43
2021-03-15	1	3rd	5 14 15 27 37
2021-03-11	8	1st	15 19 28 30 48
2021-02-11	3	3rd	7 9 15 31 39
2021-02-01	3	1st	15 17 27 30 39
2021-01-21	7	2nd	11 15 26 34 47
2020-12-28	1	4th	6 9 11 15 29
2020-12-24	42	2nd	2 15 40 44 47
2020-07-30	3	2nd	14 15 16 39 42
2020-07-20	5	2nd	11 15 37 40 46
2020-07-02	9	3rd	2 10 15 36 47
2020-06-01	8	2nd	5 15 30 40 45
2020-05-04	31	1st	15 20 22 37 48
2020-01-16	3	3rd	10 13 15 30 33
2020-01-06	2	3rd	5 8 15 33 48
2019-12-30	11	2nd	4 15 34 40 47
2019-11-21	1	1st	15 17 20 23 37
2019-11-18	3	1st	15 22 28 35 37
2019-11-07	3	3rd	1 10 15 18 40
2019-10-28	2	2nd	11 15 18 23 34
2019-10-21	42	3rd	9 14 15 35 40
2019-05-27	27	1st	15 37 43 46 47
2019-02-21	1	1st	15 21 23 27 37
2019-02-18	14	3rd	1 8 15 29 31
2018-12-31	5	3rd	4 10 15 19 43
2018-12-13	7	1st	15 31 38 39 40
2018-11-19	2	3rd	1 14 15 43 44
2018-11-12	11	4th	2 4 9 15 37
2018-10-04	15	3rd	1 10 15 28 34
2018-08-13	2	2nd	1 15 22 27 41
2018-08-06	2	4th	5 7 13 15 29
2018-07-30	24	2nd	8 15 34 36 37
2018-05-07	12	4th	2 5 6 15 40
2018-03-26	19	3rd	3 4 15 23 40
2018-01-18	1	2nd	5 15 21 28 36
2018-01-15	1	2nd	11 15 32 33 40
2018-01-11	1	3rd	8 12 15 16 41
2018-01-08	2	3rd	1 3 15 22 28
2018-01-01	3	1st	15 18 25 31 35
2017-12-21	8	3rd	10 14 15 18 24
2017-11-23	23	2nd	10 15 19 43 44
2017-09-04	6	4th	1 4 9 15 33
2017-08-14	9	3rd	4 8 15 17 39
2017-07-13	3	2nd	6 15 18 36 47
2017-07-03	8	1st	15 19 43 45 47
2017-06-05	6	2nd	13 15 17 20 32
2017-05-15	15	1st	15 17 30 36 45
2017-03-23	18	4th	1 5 6 15 30
2017-01-19	6	3rd	4 7 15 24 27
2016-12-29	2	3rd	6 10 15 33 34
2016-12-22	4	2nd	10 15 21 23 34
2016-12-08	4	5th	5 7 8 13 15
2016-11-24	6	3rd	5 10 15 16 37
2016-11-03	2	2nd	6 15 24 25 33
2016-10-27	10	1st	15 26 34 40 44
2016-09-22	11	1st	15 17 27 37 45
2016-08-15	6	4th	1 4 14 15 25
2016-07-25	5	1st	15 20 32 36 47
2016-07-07	18	2nd	4 15 18 21 45
2016-05-05	1	2nd	14 15 21 22 43
2016-05-02	8	1st	15 19 23 37 45
2016-04-04	5	2nd	1 15 27 34 41
2016-03-17	6	4th	4 13 14 15 33
2016-02-25	7	2nd	14 15 31 34 36
2016-02-01	24	2nd	14 15 22 25 38
2015-11-09	7	1st	15 20 25 37 39
2015-10-15	38	2nd	7 15 18 38 42
2015-06-04	14	1st	15 21 32 37 39
2015-04-16	12	2nd	14 15 16 27 33
2015-03-05	5	1st	15 17 22 36 43
2015-02-16	2	2nd	14 15 16 22 46
2015-02-09	1	2nd	8 15 25 33 41
2015-02-05	—	2nd	1 15 25 43 47