Lucky for Life · every number · star deck
15
Star 15 In Lucky for Life under the 5/48 + 1/18 · since Jan 2015 rules — 2,354 draws, 1 from 1–18.
Main numbers Stars 151 times drawn · chance expected 131 +1.82σ
30 draws waiting · a wait this long: 19% for any number
15.4 average wait between appearances · chance says 18.0
60 longest completed wait · 99% chance of one at least that long
15 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 151 times in 2,354 draws against 130.8 expected, +1.82σ. Each draw is independent: after 30 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
15 Number 15, draw by draw Drawn 151 times in 2,354 draws · average wait 15.4 draws · longest completed wait 60 · waiting 30 draws now
7 draws: 2015-03-26 to 2015-04-20 11 draws: 2015-04-20 to 2015-05-28 4 draws: 2015-05-28 to 2015-06-11 10 draws: 2015-06-11 to 2015-07-16 32 draws: 2015-07-16 to 2015-11-05 56 draws: 2015-11-05 to 2016-05-19 8 draws: 2016-05-19 to 2016-06-16 32 draws: 2016-06-16 to 2016-10-06 17 draws: 2016-10-06 to 2016-12-05 2 draws: 2016-12-05 to 2016-12-12 27 draws: 2016-12-12 to 2017-03-16 4 draws: 2017-03-16 to 2017-03-30 15 draws: 2017-03-30 to 2017-05-22 1 draws: 2017-05-22 to 2017-05-25 42 draws: 2017-05-25 to 2017-10-19 1 draws: 2017-10-19 to 2017-10-23 22 draws: 2017-10-23 to 2018-01-08 18 draws: 2018-01-08 to 2018-03-12 54 draws: 2018-03-12 to 2018-09-17 6 draws: 2018-09-17 to 2018-10-08 10 draws: 2018-10-08 to 2018-11-12 2 draws: 2018-11-12 to 2018-11-19 13 draws: 2018-11-19 to 2019-01-03 36 draws: 2019-01-03 to 2019-05-09 24 draws: 2019-05-09 to 2019-08-01 10 draws: 2019-08-01 to 2019-09-05 17 draws: 2019-09-05 to 2019-11-04 1 draws: 2019-11-04 to 2019-11-07 23 draws: 2019-11-07 to 2020-01-27 1 draws: 2020-01-27 to 2020-01-30 22 draws: 2020-01-30 to 2020-04-16 6 draws: 2020-04-16 to 2020-05-07 2 draws: 2020-05-07 to 2020-05-14 15 draws: 2020-05-14 to 2020-07-06 8 draws: 2020-07-06 to 2020-08-03 11 draws: 2020-08-03 to 2020-09-10 19 draws: 2020-09-10 to 2020-11-16 7 draws: 2020-11-16 to 2020-12-10 12 draws: 2020-12-10 to 2021-01-21 8 draws: 2021-01-21 to 2021-02-18 8 draws: 2021-02-18 to 2021-03-18 9 draws: 2021-03-18 to 2021-04-19 1 draws: 2021-04-19 to 2021-04-22 14 draws: 2021-04-22 to 2021-06-10 17 draws: 2021-06-10 to 2021-07-25 22 draws: 2021-07-25 to 2021-08-16 22 draws: 2021-08-16 to 2021-09-07 9 draws: 2021-09-07 to 2021-09-16 24 draws: 2021-09-16 to 2021-10-10 21 draws: 2021-10-10 to 2021-10-31 9 draws: 2021-10-31 to 2021-11-09 2 draws: 2021-11-09 to 2021-11-11 26 draws: 2021-11-11 to 2021-12-07 39 draws: 2021-12-07 to 2022-01-15 25 draws: 2022-01-15 to 2022-02-09 13 draws: 2022-02-09 to 2022-02-22 4 draws: 2022-02-22 to 2022-02-26 2 draws: 2022-02-26 to 2022-02-28 60 draws: 2022-02-28 to 2022-04-29 10 draws: 2022-04-29 to 2022-05-09 2 draws: 2022-05-09 to 2022-05-11 15 draws: 2022-05-11 to 2022-05-26 11 draws: 2022-05-26 to 2022-06-06 56 draws: 2022-06-06 to 2022-08-01 16 draws: 2022-08-01 to 2022-08-17 24 draws: 2022-08-17 to 2022-09-10 15 draws: 2022-09-10 to 2022-09-25 11 draws: 2022-09-25 to 2022-10-06 17 draws: 2022-10-06 to 2022-10-23 13 draws: 2022-10-23 to 2022-11-05 2 draws: 2022-11-05 to 2022-11-07 28 draws: 2022-11-07 to 2022-12-05 10 draws: 2022-12-05 to 2022-12-15 20 draws: 2022-12-15 to 2023-01-04 50 draws: 2023-01-04 to 2023-02-23 7 draws: 2023-02-23 to 2023-03-02 1 draws: 2023-03-02 to 2023-03-03 10 draws: 2023-03-03 to 2023-03-13 2 draws: 2023-03-13 to 2023-03-15 14 draws: 2023-03-15 to 2023-03-29 7 draws: 2023-03-29 to 2023-04-05 20 draws: 2023-04-05 to 2023-04-25 3 draws: 2023-04-25 to 2023-04-28 39 draws: 2023-04-28 to 2023-06-06 3 draws: 2023-06-06 to 2023-06-09 9 draws: 2023-06-09 to 2023-06-18 38 draws: 2023-06-18 to 2023-07-26 4 draws: 2023-07-26 to 2023-07-30 11 draws: 2023-07-30 to 2023-08-10 6 draws: 2023-08-10 to 2023-08-16 19 draws: 2023-08-16 to 2023-09-04 37 draws: 2023-09-04 to 2023-10-11 41 draws: 2023-10-11 to 2023-11-21 11 draws: 2023-11-21 to 2023-12-02 13 draws: 2023-12-02 to 2023-12-15 16 draws: 2023-12-15 to 2023-12-31 4 draws: 2023-12-31 to 2024-01-04 3 draws: 2024-01-04 to 2024-01-07 57 draws: 2024-01-07 to 2024-03-04 17 draws: 2024-03-04 to 2024-03-21 13 draws: 2024-03-21 to 2024-04-03 2 draws: 2024-04-03 to 2024-04-05 1 draws: 2024-04-05 to 2024-04-06 16 draws: 2024-04-06 to 2024-04-22 20 draws: 2024-04-22 to 2024-05-12 9 draws: 2024-05-12 to 2024-05-21 11 draws: 2024-05-21 to 2024-06-01 45 draws: 2024-06-01 to 2024-07-16 11 draws: 2024-07-16 to 2024-07-27 28 draws: 2024-07-27 to 2024-08-24 57 draws: 2024-08-24 to 2024-10-20 35 draws: 2024-10-20 to 2024-11-24 3 draws: 2024-11-24 to 2024-11-27 5 draws: 2024-11-27 to 2024-12-02 29 draws: 2024-12-02 to 2024-12-31 20 draws: 2024-12-31 to 2025-01-20 1 draws: 2025-01-20 to 2025-01-21 55 draws: 2025-01-21 to 2025-03-17 1 draws: 2025-03-17 to 2025-03-18 8 draws: 2025-03-18 to 2025-03-26 22 draws: 2025-03-26 to 2025-04-17 3 draws: 2025-04-17 to 2025-04-20 3 draws: 2025-04-20 to 2025-04-23 9 draws: 2025-04-23 to 2025-05-02 5 draws: 2025-05-02 to 2025-05-07 12 draws: 2025-05-07 to 2025-05-19 14 draws: 2025-05-19 to 2025-06-02 7 draws: 2025-06-02 to 2025-06-09 4 draws: 2025-06-09 to 2025-06-13 13 draws: 2025-06-13 to 2025-06-26 12 draws: 2025-06-26 to 2025-07-08 24 draws: 2025-07-08 to 2025-08-01 4 draws: 2025-08-01 to 2025-08-05 7 draws: 2025-08-05 to 2025-08-12 9 draws: 2025-08-12 to 2025-08-21 1 draws: 2025-08-21 to 2025-08-22 2 draws: 2025-08-22 to 2025-08-24 29 draws: 2025-08-24 to 2025-09-22 41 draws: 2025-09-22 to 2025-11-02 3 draws: 2025-11-02 to 2025-11-05 3 draws: 2025-11-05 to 2025-11-08 3 draws: 2025-11-08 to 2025-11-11 1 draws: 2025-11-11 to 2025-11-12 32 draws: 2025-11-12 to 2025-12-14 4 draws: 2025-12-14 to 2025-12-18 2 draws: 2025-12-18 to 2025-12-20 1 draws: 2025-12-20 to 2025-12-21 11 draws: 2025-12-21 to 2026-01-01 4 draws: 2026-01-01 to 2026-01-05 17 draws: 2026-01-05 to 2026-01-22 Still waiting — at least 30 draws since 2026-01-22 2015-03-26 2015-04-20 2015-05-28 2015-06-11 2015-07-16 2015-11-05 2016-05-19 2016-06-16 2016-10-06 2016-12-05 2016-12-12 2017-03-16 2017-03-30 2017-05-22 2017-05-25 2017-10-19 2017-10-23 2018-01-08 2018-03-12 2018-09-17 2018-10-08 2018-11-12 2018-11-19 2019-01-03 2019-05-09 2019-08-01 2019-09-05 2019-11-04 2019-11-07 2020-01-27 2020-01-30 2020-04-16 2020-05-07 2020-05-14 2020-07-06 2020-08-03 2020-09-10 2020-11-16 2020-12-10 2021-01-21 2021-02-18 2021-03-18 2021-04-19 2021-04-22 2021-06-10 2021-07-25 2021-08-16 2021-09-07 2021-09-16 2021-10-10 2021-10-31 2021-11-09 2021-11-11 2021-12-07 2022-01-15 2022-02-09 2022-02-22 2022-02-26 2022-02-28 2022-04-29 2022-05-09 2022-05-11 2022-05-26 2022-06-06 2022-08-01 2022-08-17 2022-09-10 2022-09-25 2022-10-06 2022-10-23 2022-11-05 2022-11-07 2022-12-05 2022-12-15 2023-01-04 2023-02-23 2023-03-02 2023-03-03 2023-03-13 2023-03-15 2023-03-29 2023-04-05 2023-04-25 2023-04-28 2023-06-06 2023-06-09 2023-06-18 2023-07-26 2023-07-30 2023-08-10 2023-08-16 2023-09-04 2023-10-11 2023-11-21 2023-12-02 2023-12-15 2023-12-31 2024-01-04 2024-01-07 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 2024-04-03 2024-04-05 2024-04-06 2024-04-22 2024-05-12 2024-05-21 2024-06-01 2024-07-16 2024-07-27 2024-08-24 2024-10-20 2024-11-24 2024-11-27 2024-12-02 2024-12-31 2025-01-20 2025-01-21 2025-03-17 2025-03-18 2025-03-26 2025-04-17 2025-04-20 2025-04-23 2025-05-02 2025-05-07 2025-05-19 2025-06-02 2025-06-09 2025-06-13 2025-06-26 2025-07-08 2025-08-01 2025-08-05 2025-08-12 2025-08-21 2025-08-22 2025-08-24 2025-09-22 2025-11-02 2025-11-05 2025-11-08 2025-11-11 2025-11-12 2025-12-14 2025-12-18 2025-12-20 2025-12-21 2026-01-01 2026-01-05 2026-01-22 2015-01-29 2026-02-21
1 draws: 12 times 2 draws: 11 times 3 draws: 9 times 4 draws: 9 times 5 draws: 2 times 6 draws: 3 times 7 draws: 6 times 8 draws: 5 times 9 draws: 7 times 10 draws: 6 times 11 draws: 9 times 12 draws: 3 times 13 draws: 6 times 14 draws: 3 times 15 draws: 4 times 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 6 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 4 times 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 5 times 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 4 times 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 2 times 29 draws: 2 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 3 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 1 time 36 draws: 1 time 37 draws: 1 time 38 draws: 1 time 39 draws: 2 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 2 times 42 draws: 1 time 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 1 time 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 1 time 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 0 times 54 draws: 1 time 55 draws: 1 time 56 draws: 2 times 57 draws: 2 times 58 draws: 0 times 59 draws: 0 times 60 draws: 1 time 61 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 151 · chance 151.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 17 of the other 17 numbers; chance expects about 17 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 18. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →
Every draw it appeared in ← star 14 Every number star 16 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 1/18 tonight whatever it did last week.