Wednesday, 10 August 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 15, 19, 38) with the draw of 18 June 2016 — its closest relative in 663 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 August 2016): 26, 33 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 145 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.