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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 4 December 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 9
  3. 21
  4. 24
  5. 29
  6. 39
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 848 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-12-01All recent draws2021-12-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 9 21 24 29 39 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 127 of each

2129times
9122times
21128times
24129times
29

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$454.9Kto 19k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 271lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$65.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball53%NZ$238.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball13%NZ$59.9K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$90.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

134times
39122times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each

782times

Every number was expected about that many times after 847 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 9, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 May 2021 — its closest relative in 847 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 December 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball22≈ 27 by chanceNZ$1,305
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,174≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball15,927≈ 16k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$26,695
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball86NZ$95.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,620NZ$37.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,174 winners, 5% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$26,695
    Match 5 + Powerball22NZ$1,305
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball86NZ$95.00
    Match 4 + Powerball1,174NZ$56.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,620NZ$37.00
    Match 3 + Powerball15,927NZ$15.00
    Totals18,831—