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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 31 August 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 5
  4. 24
  5. 30
  6. 37
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$7,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 612 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-08-28All recent draws2019-09-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 5 24 30 37 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 92 of each

294times
490times
577times
2492times
30

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-31

  • Lines in play≈ 6.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$575.7Kto 25k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 274lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball16%NZ$92.9K
  • Match 3 + Powerball56%NZ$321.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$86.7K
  • 2 other tiers13%NZ$74.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

88times
3794times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

957times

Every number was expected about that many times after 611 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 4, 5, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 February 2018 — its closest relative in 611 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 August 2019): 4, 24 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

102

The numbers add up to 102 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$7,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball31≈ 37 by chanceNZ$2,091
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,549≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$60.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball21,446≈ 21k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball69NZ$139
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,016NZ$43.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,549 winners, 3% more than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$7,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball31NZ$2,091
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball69NZ$139
    Match 4 + Powerball1,549NZ$60.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,016NZ$43.00
    Match 3 + Powerball21,446NZ$15.00
    Totals25,111—