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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 19 December 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 14
  3. 22
  4. 23
  5. 30
  6. 37
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$14,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 539 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-12-15All recent draws2018-12-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 14 22 23 30 37 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum57th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each

281times
1488times
2279times
2381times
30

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-19

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$420.3Kto 16k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$58.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball50%NZ$208.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball13%NZ$55.4K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$97.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

77times
3779times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each

271times

Every number was expected about that many times after 538 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 14, 23, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 August 2017 — its closest relative in 538 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 December 2018): 22 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$14,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball39≈ 24 by chanceNZ$959
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,068≈ 976 by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball13,883≈ 14k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$53,950
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball54NZ$122
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,259NZ$44.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,068 winners, 9% more than the 976 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$14,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$53,950
    Match 5 + Powerball39NZ$959
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball54NZ$122
    Match 4 + Powerball1,068NZ$55.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,259NZ$44.00
    Match 3 + Powerball13,883NZ$15.00
    Totals16,304—