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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Powerball · draw
ResultPowerball
JackpotNZ$12,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 416 of 1,351 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 415 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 7, 31) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 May 2017 — its closest relative in 415 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 October 2017): 4 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 94 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,283 winners, 3% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 + Powerball | 0 | NZ$12,000,000 |
| Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball | 1 | NZ$34,393 |
| Match 5 + Powerball | 30 | NZ$1,149 |
| Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball | 87 | NZ$94.00 |
| Match 4 + Powerball | 1,283 | NZ$53.00 |
| Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball | 1,746 | NZ$37.00 |
| Match 3 + Powerball | 17,775 | NZ$15.00 |
| Totals | 20,922 | — |