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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 21 October 2026

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 6
  4. 19
  5. 33
  6. 37
  7. 1

JackpotNZ$12,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 1,353 of 1,353 under them

← 2026-10-17All recent drawsLatest on record

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 22 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 6 19 33 37 + 122 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 203 of each

1212times
4199times
6199times
19229times
33

Prize breakdown · 2026-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$506.3Kto 21k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 170lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball11%NZ$55.3K
  • Match 3 + Powerball43%NZ$220.2K
  • Match 2 plus Bonus plus Powerball19%NZ$94.5K
  • 4 other tiers27%NZ$136.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

204times
37192times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 135 of each

1148times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,352 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 6, 33, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 July 2025 — its closest relative in 1,352 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 October 2026): 1, 4, 33 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$12,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball25≈ 19 by chanceNZ$1,216
  • Match 4 + Powerball727≈ 774 by chanceNZ$76.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball11,012≈ 11k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$46,884
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball46NZ$143
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,049NZ$50.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus plus Powerball7,875NZ$12.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 727 winners, 6% fewer than the 774 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$12,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$46,884
    Match 5 + Powerball25NZ$1,216
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball46NZ$143
    Match 4 + Powerball727NZ$76.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,049NZ$50.00
    Match 3 + Powerball11,012NZ$20.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus plus Powerball7,875NZ$12.00
    Totals20,735—