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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 21 November 2025

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 17
  3. 21
  4. 27
  5. 28
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 38% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,877 of 3,064 under them

← 2025-11-19All recent draws2025-11-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 17 21 27 28 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 November 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd89th
  • low31th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 369 of each

7378times
17357times
21378times
27362times
28

Prize breakdown · 2025-11-21

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.8Mto 111k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball55%£1.0M
  • Match 38.5%£154.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball11%£196.4K
  • 6 other tiers26%£467.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

379times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 205 of each

8212times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,876 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 17, 21, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 January 2024 — its closest relative in 2,876 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 57% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 November 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 527≈ 2.0 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball38≈ 26 by chance£250
  • Match 4586≈ 340 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,229≈ 862 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,135≈ 9.2k by chance£10.00
  • Match 315,468≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball39,288≈ 36k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball42,779≈ 43k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,229 winners, 42% more than the 862 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball42,779£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball39,288£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,135£10.00
    Match 315,468£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,229£20.00
    Match 4586£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball38£250
    Match 527£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£500,000