LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Friday, 4 October 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 19
  2. 23
  3. 25
  4. 30
  5. 39
  6. 11

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,641 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-10-02All recent draws2024-10-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 23 25 30 39 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 338 of each

19343times
23326times
25327times
30373times
39

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£536.5Kto 96k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£98.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£173.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£125.8K
  • 5 other tiers26%£139.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

322times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 189 of each

11184times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,640 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

This exact draw has happened before, on 8 June 2012. Chance gave a match this close a 0.5% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

136

The numbers add up to 136 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.0 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball28≈ 26 by chance£250
  • Match 4257≈ 333 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball779≈ 846 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,587≈ 9.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,846≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball34,621≈ 35k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball41,938≈ 42k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,846 winners, 10% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball41,938£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball34,621£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,587£10.00
    Match 39,846£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball779£20.00
    Match 4257£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball28£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000