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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 24 February 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 18
  4. 25
  5. 28
  6. 11

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,514 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-02-23All recent draws2024-02-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 18 25 28 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 322 of each

3303times
5322times
18346times
25311times
28

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-24

  • Lines in play≈ 2.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.6Mto 170k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball32%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%£301.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball13%£207.9K
  • 6 other tiers35%£546.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

327times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 180 of each

11176times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,513 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 18, 25, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 November 2022 — its closest relative in 2,513 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 53% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 February 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

79

The numbers add up to 79 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 59≈ 3.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball68≈ 42 by chance£250
  • Match 4727≈ 550 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,668≈ 1.4k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,136≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 320,683≈ 18k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball60,361≈ 58k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball69,295≈ 69k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 727 winners, 32% more than the 550 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball69,295£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball60,361£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,136£10.00
    Match 320,683£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,668£20.00
    Match 4727£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball68£250
    Match 59£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000