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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 15 October 2021

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 9
  3. 28
  4. 33
  5. 36
  6. 3

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,021 of 3,064 under them

← 2021-10-13All recent draws2021-10-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 9 28 33 36 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 259 of each

5241times
9252times
28260times
33259times
36

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£574.3Kto 104k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£106.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£185.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball24%£138.3K
  • 4 other tiers25%£143.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

234times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each

3164times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,020 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 9, 33, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 May 2018 — its closest relative in 2,020 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 45% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 October 2021): 9, 33 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 2.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24≈ 28 by chance£250
  • Match 4280≈ 366 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball880≈ 930 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,188≈ 9.9k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,670≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,145≈ 38k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball46,116≈ 46k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,670 winners, 12% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball46,116£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,145£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,188£10.00
    Match 310,670£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball880£20.00
    Match 4280£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000