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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 5 May 2017

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 11
  3. 21
  4. 32
  5. 36
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 21% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,131 of 3,062 under them

← 2017-05-03All recent draws2017-05-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 11 21 32 36 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 May 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.

  • sum52th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each

1140times
11128times
21160times
32176times
36

Prize breakdown · 2017-05-05

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£615.0Kto 110k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 317%£102.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£197.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball24%£148.1K
  • 5 other tiers27%£166.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

133times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each

887times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,130 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 21, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 February 2017 — its closest relative in 1,130 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 May 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.3 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30≈ 30 by chance£250
  • Match 4328≈ 392 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball799≈ 995 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,535≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,261≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball39,540≈ 41k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball49,357≈ 49k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,261 winners, 21% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball49,357£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball39,540£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,535£10.00
    Match 310,261£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball799£20.00
    Match 4328£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000