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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Friday, 14 August 2015 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2015-08-12 All recent draws 2015-08-15 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 4 14 22 37 39 + 7 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2015-08-14 Lines in play ≈ 1.6M as the winner counts imply Paid out £634.1K to 120k winning lines Won something 1 in 14 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.20 Where the money went
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 16% £100.9K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 34% £214.3K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 27% £169.8K 5 other tiers 24% £149.1K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.20 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
106times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 860 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 1≈ 2.6 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 17≈ 35 by chance £250
Match 4 284≈ 450 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 809≈ 1.1k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 10,090≈ 12k by chance £10.00
Match 3 9,527≈ 15k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 42,858≈ 47k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 56,615≈ 57k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,527 winners, 36% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.