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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 13 December 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233149
  1. 4
  2. 7
  3. 18
  4. 19
  5. 22
  6. 10

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 72% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,377 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-12-11All recent draws2023-12-16 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 7 18 19 22 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 7 18 19 22 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd32th
  • low99th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 242 of each

4243times
7249times
18226times
19219times
22

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-13

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.8Mto 643k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • rang142%€2.0M
  • rang822%€1.1M
  • rang912%€595.9K
  • 6 other tiers23%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

272times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 238 of each

10243times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,376 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 18, 19, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 November 2021 — its closest relative in 2,376 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

70

The numbers add up to 70 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.4 by chance€62,089
  • rang365≈ 58 by chance€699
  • rang4864≈ 523 by chance€190
  • rang52,271≈ 2.5k by chance€43.10
  • rang627,936≈ 22k by chance€12.60
  • rang726,311≈ 35k by chance€10.40
  • rang8314,583≈ 315k by chance€3.40
  • rang9270,886€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 864 winners, 65% more than the 523 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€2,000,000
    rang23€62,089
    rang365€699
    rang4864€190
    rang52,271€43.10
    rang627,936€12.60
    rang726,311€10.40
    rang8314,583€3.40
    rang9270,886€2.20