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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 5 August 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233093
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 10
  4. 40
  5. 42
  6. 2

Jackpot€12,000,000

The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,321 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-08-02All recent draws2023-08-07 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 7 10 40 42 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 10 40 42 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap97th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 237 of each

2228times
7244times
10230times
40237times
42

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-05

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.7Mto 981k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • rang612%€577.6K
  • rang838%€1.8M
  • rang923%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

221times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

2217times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,320 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 40, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 April 2020 — its closest relative in 2,320 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€12,000,000
  • rang24≈ 3.1 by chance€76,559
  • rang370≈ 76 by chance€1,068
  • rang4582≈ 684 by chance€463
  • rang53,182≈ 3.3k by chance€50.60
  • rang628,455≈ 29k by chance€20.30
  • rang742,342≈ 46k by chance€10.60
  • rang8411,723≈ 412k by chance€4.30
  • rang9494,537€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 582 winners, 15% fewer than the 684 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€12,000,000
    rang24€76,559
    rang370€1,068
    rang4582€463
    rang53,182€50.60
    rang628,455€20.30
    rang742,342€10.60
    rang8411,723€4.30
    rang9494,537€2.20