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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 9 August 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233095
  1. 3
  2. 6
  3. 14
  4. 31
  5. 45
  6. 9

Jackpot€14,000,000

The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,323 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-08-07All recent draws2023-08-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 6 14 31 45 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 6 14 31 45 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 237 of each

3241times
6237times
14225times
31245times
45

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-09

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€17.4Mto 759k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang180%€14.0M
  • rang87.1%€1.2M
  • rang95.2%€914.8K
  • 6 other tiers7.3%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

230times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

9242times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,322 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (6, 14, 31, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 January 2020 — its closest relative in 2,322 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€14,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.2 by chance€213,541
  • rang365≈ 53 by chance€802
  • rang4395≈ 480 by chance€476
  • rang52,286≈ 2.3k by chance€49.10
  • rang620,117≈ 21k by chance€20.00
  • rang731,603≈ 32k by chance€9.90
  • rang8288,703≈ 289k by chance€4.30
  • rang9415,801€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 20,117 winners, 2% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€14,000,000
    rang21€213,541
    rang365€802
    rang4395€476
    rang52,286€49.10
    rang620,117€20.00
    rang731,603€9.90
    rang8288,703€4.30
    rang9415,801€2.20