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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 5 April 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233041
  1. 16
  2. 29
  3. 31
  4. 33
  5. 39
  6. 2

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,269 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-04-03All recent draws2023-04-08 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official16 29 31 33 39 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed16 29 31 33 39 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

16240times
29241times
31240times
33236times
39

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-05

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 538k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • rang612%€354.2K
  • rang838%€1.1M
  • rang923%€663.6K
  • 5 other tiers27%€772.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

205times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 227 of each

2211times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,268 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (16, 29, 31, 39) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 May 2010 — its closest relative in 2,268 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 April 2023): 31, 39 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.5 by chance€93,739
  • rang321≈ 37 by chance€2,179
  • rang4284≈ 337 by chance€581
  • rang51,214≈ 1.6k by chance€81.20
  • rang613,265≈ 14k by chance€26.70
  • rang718,734≈ 23k by chance€14.70
  • rang8202,739≈ 203k by chance€5.30
  • rang9301,655€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,214 winners, 25% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang22€93,739
    rang321€2,179
    rang4284€581
    rang51,214€81.20
    rang613,265€26.70
    rang718,734€14.70
    rang8202,739€5.30
    rang9301,655€2.20