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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 1 April 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233039
  1. 12
  2. 17
  3. 35
  4. 44
  5. 48
  6. 8

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,267 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-03-29All recent draws2023-04-03 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official12 17 35 44 48 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed12 17 35 44 48 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread58th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

12220times
17231times
35243times
44239times
48

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-01

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 853k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • rang612%€454.6K
  • rang835%€1.4M
  • rang928%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers25%€990.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

221times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 227 of each

8204times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,266 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 35, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 February 2023 — its closest relative in 2,266 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.3 by chance€80,110
  • rang354≈ 56 by chance€1,086
  • rang4440≈ 507 by chance€481
  • rang52,588≈ 2.4k by chance€48.80
  • rang620,478≈ 22k by chance€22.20
  • rang736,071≈ 34k by chance€9.80
  • rang8305,140≈ 305k by chance€4.50
  • rang9488,645€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 440 winners, 13% fewer than the 507 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang23€80,110
    rang354€1,086
    rang4440€481
    rang52,588€48.80
    rang620,478€22.20
    rang736,071€9.80
    rang8305,140€4.50
    rang9488,645€2.20