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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 26 November 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222142
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 7
  4. 23
  5. 28
  6. 5

Jackpot€21,000,000

The crowdHeld 15% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,213 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-11-23All recent draws2022-11-28 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 5 7 23 28 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 7 23 28 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 226 of each

2218times
5223times
7233times
23235times
28

Prize breakdown · 2022-11-26

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.8Mto 1.3M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.41

Where the money went

  • rang611%€548.5K
  • rang835%€1.7M
  • rang929%€1.4M
  • 5 other tiers25%€1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.41 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

222times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 221 of each

5236times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,212 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 7, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 May 2022 — its closest relative in 2,212 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 November 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

65

The numbers add up to 65 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€21,000,000
  • rang29≈ 3.7 by chance€32,423
  • rang3188≈ 91 by chance€379
  • rang41,284≈ 821 by chance€200
  • rang56,238≈ 3.9k by chance€24.60
  • rang643,877≈ 35k by chance€12.50
  • rang766,938≈ 55k by chance€6.40
  • rang8493,949≈ 494k by chance€3.40
  • rang9637,942€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 6,238 winners, 59% more than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€21,000,000
    rang29€32,423
    rang3188€379
    rang41,284€200
    rang56,238€24.60
    rang643,877€12.50
    rang766,938€6.40
    rang8493,949€3.40
    rang9637,942€2.20