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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 21 September 2022

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20222114
  1. 3
  2. 9
  3. 12
  4. 22
  5. 37
  6. 10

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 68% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,185 of 3,001 under them

← 2022-09-19All recent draws2022-09-24 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 9 12 22 37 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 9 12 22 37 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread49th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 223 of each

3224times
9226times
12210times
22257times
37

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 608k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang613%€350.9K
  • rang839%€1.1M
  • rang921%€572.7K
  • 5 other tiers28%€765.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

227times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 218 of each

10215times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,184 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 22, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 August 2022 — its closest relative in 2,184 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

83

The numbers add up to 83 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.2 by chance€61,918
  • rang356≈ 55 by chance€810
  • rang4667≈ 492 by chance€245
  • rang51,964≈ 2.3k by chance€49.70
  • rang625,430≈ 21k by chance€13.80
  • rang723,319≈ 33k by chance€11.70
  • rang8295,907≈ 296k by chance€3.60
  • rang9260,310€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 23,319 winners, 29% fewer than the 33k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang23€61,918
    rang356€810
    rang4667€245
    rang51,964€49.70
    rang625,430€13.80
    rang723,319€11.70
    rang8295,907€3.60
    rang9260,310€2.20